North Dakota Cannabis
Market Intelligence Report
North Dakota runs one of the smallest, most tightly capped medical cannabis programs in the country — just 2 cultivators and 8 dispensaries statewide — after voters rejected adult-use legalization for a third consecutive time in 2024.
Key Decision Summary
Existing dispensary operators hold a genuinely scarce license in one of the smallest legal cannabis markets in the country.
This is one of the most concentrated cultivation structures of any state in this report set — both licenses represent the entire upstream supply chain.
Vendor relationships built with the 2 processors and 8 dispensaries are likely to remain the entire market for the foreseeable future.
North Dakota offers limited near-term growth catalysts; its closest-yet 2024 legalization margin (52.55%-47.45%) is the only sign legalization sentiment may be shifting.
North Dakota operates one of the smallest, most tightly capped medical cannabis markets in the country — just 2 cultivators and 8 dispensaries — and has now rejected adult-use legalization three consecutive times, most recently by a narrowing 52.55%-47.45% margin in 2024.
Market Overview
North Dakota operates one of the smallest medical cannabis markets covered in this report set, with sales reaching $21.6 million in fiscal year 2023 — up 41% from $16.3 million in fiscal year 2021, the most recent officially reported figures identified for this report. The program registered 9,596 qualifying patients as of June 2023. The supply chain is correspondingly compact: just 2 licensed manufacturing/processing facilities and 8 licensed dispensaries serve the entire state, among the tightest license caps of any medical-only program in the country.
North Dakota voters have now rejected adult-use cannabis legalization three consecutive times: in 2018, in 2022, and most recently in November 2024, when Initiated Measure 5 was defeated 52.55% to 47.45% — the closest margin of the three votes, suggesting gradually shifting, though still unfavorable, public sentiment. The 2025 legislative session brought a modest program expansion, adding low-dose THC edibles (capped at 5mg per serving, 50mg per package) to the list of products available at medical dispensaries.
| Metric | Figure | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| FY2023 Medical Sales | $21.6M | Official |
| FY2021 Medical Sales | $16.3M | Official |
| FY2021-FY2023 Sales Growth | +41% | Official |
| Registered Patients, June 2023 | 9,596 | Official |
| 2024 Measure 5 Result | 47.45% Yes / 52.55% No | Official |
North Dakota is the only state in this report set to have rejected adult-use legalization three separate times. The 2024 margin (52.55%-47.45%) was notably closer than 2018 or 2022, a trend worth watching ahead of any future ballot attempt.
State Demographics
North Dakota's population of fewer than 785,000 — the smallest of any state in this report set — supports a medical cannabis program of correspondingly modest scale, with above-median household income. (Official, Census ACS 2024)
Regulatory & Licensing
North Dakota's medical cannabis program is regulated by the Division of Medical Marijuana within the Department of Health and Human Services. License counts are fixed by statute at just 2 manufacturing/processing facilities and 8 dispensaries statewide — among the smallest license footprints of any medical-only program in the country. The 2025 legislative session added low-dose THC edibles to the approved product list, a modest regulatory expansion.
State Incentives & Support Programs
North Dakota does not operate a dedicated tax-incentive or grant program for cannabis businesses; the fixed 2-processor/8-dispensary cap structure itself functions as the primary market-shaping policy lever.
Rather than tax incentives, North Dakota's defining policy feature is its hard statutory cap on license counts, among the tightest of any medical-only state. (Official.)
Supply Chain
North Dakota's cannabis supply chain is among the most concentrated of any state in this report set: just 2 licensed manufacturing/processing facilities supply all 8 licensed dispensaries statewide. The 2025 legislative session's addition of low-dose THC edibles to the approved product list represents the program's most notable recent supply-side development, expanding the product range available within the existing licensed structure rather than adding new license capacity.
Consumer Demand
North Dakota's patient base and sales both grew through FY2023, the most recent period with officially reported figures identified for this report; more recent 2025-2026 patient and sales totals were not found in publicly available state reporting reviewed for this report. (Not Available — current patient/sales totals.)
| Metric | Figure | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| FY2023 Sales | $21.6M | Official |
| FY2021-FY2023 Growth | +41% | Official |
| Registered Patients (June 2023) | 9,596 | Official |
County-Wise Sales
North Dakota's 8 dispensaries are distributed across the state's larger population centers, including Fargo, Bismarck, Grand Forks, and Minot. The Division of Medical Marijuana does not publish a current county-by-county sales breakdown. (Not Available — county-level sales breakdown.)
Cost-to-Open Benchmarks
With license counts fixed by statute at just 2 processors and 8 dispensaries, North Dakota's cost-to-enter dynamics run almost entirely through the secondary market for existing licenses.
| Cost Item | Typical Range | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Dispensary license acquisition (secondary market) | Premium pricing given fixed 8-license cap | Modeled-Estimated |
| Processing facility license acquisition (secondary market) | Significant premium given fixed 2-license cap | Modeled-Estimated |
Vendor Demand Signal
Vendor demand signal tracks which product and service categories North Dakota's small, fixed operator base is actively sourcing this quarter.
Top inbound vendor-interest categories from North Dakota dispensaries and processors this quarter.
Financials & Tax
North Dakota patients pay a 5.0% sales tax on medical cannabis purchases, with no additional state excise tax layered on top — a comparatively simple, low-friction tax structure relative to other medical-only states in this report set. A specific itemized total tax revenue figure for recent fiscal years was not identified in public state reporting reviewed for this report. (Not Available — exact recent-year tax revenue total.)
| Tax Component | Rate | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Medical Cannabis Sales Tax | 5.0% | Official |
| Additional Excise Tax | None | Official |
Neighboring States — Regional Impact
North Dakota borders two adult-use states and one medical-only neighbor, situating it within a regional landscape where most surrounding states have moved further than North Dakota itself on cannabis policy.
An established adult-use market bordering North Dakota to the west. (Official, per CannBus Montana report)
A recently launched adult-use market bordering North Dakota to the east. (Official, per CannBus Minnesota report)
A medical-only program bordering North Dakota to the south. (Modeled-Estimated)
Workforce
North Dakota does not publish a consolidated statewide cannabis-industry employment figure. With only 2 processing facilities and 8 dispensaries statewide, direct industry employment is almost certainly among the smallest of any state in this report set, though no official total is available. (Not Available.)
Social Equity
North Dakota's medical cannabis program does not include a dedicated statewide social equity license track; the fixed 2-processor/8-dispensary cap structure has limited new-entrant opportunities of any kind since the program's launch. (Official.)
Illicit Market
North Dakota does not publish an official illicit cannabis market size estimate. With cannabis remaining illegal for adult, non-patient use statewide, and three consecutive legalization votes failing, an unregulated market for non-patients likely exists alongside the small licensed medical program, though no official dollar figure quantifies this. (Not Available.)
Market Signals & Data Confidence
This report blends official North Dakota HHS licensing and sales data, legislative annual reports, certified election results, and federal demographic sources. Where current 2025-2026 sales and patient figures were not publicly available, the most recent officially reported figures are used and labeled with their as-of date.
| Data Point | Source Type | As-of Date | Confidence | How We Use It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales Revenue | Government (ND HHS) / legislative report | FY2023 | High | Headline stats & financials section |
| Patient Count | Government (ND HHS) | June 2023 | High | Overview & consumer section |
| License Counts | Government (ND HHS) | 2025-2026 | High | Regulatory section |
| 2018/2022/2024 Ballot Measure Results | Government (certified election results) | 2018-2024 | High | Takeaways & overview section |
| Population / Income / Age | Government (Census ACS) | 2024 | High | Demographics section |
Scenario Outlook & Market Opportunity Snapshot
| Scenario | Key Driver | Trajectory |
|---|---|---|
| Bear | Patient growth stalls and no further legalization effort emerges | The market remains essentially flat at its current small scale |
| Base | Continued modest patient and sales growth within the fixed 2/8 license structure | Sales grow gradually, consistent with the FY2021-FY2023 trend |
| Bull | A future adult-use ballot measure builds on 2024's narrower margin and passes | North Dakota would join its Montana and Minnesota neighbors in adult-use legalization, materially expanding the market |
North Dakota scores toward the lower end of the medical-only band: its tiny license footprint and three consecutive failed legalization votes weigh against a higher score, though the narrowing 2024 margin keeps the door open for future change.
Outlook & Next Steps
Watch for the next North Dakota HHS legislative report, expected to cover FY2024-FY2025 sales and patient data.
The narrowing margin from prior votes (2018, 2022) is the clearest signal that sentiment may be gradually shifting.
Any future legislative expansion of license counts would be a notable structural shift for this small market.
Watch for further incremental product-access expansions as a more likely near-term development than a license-cap increase.
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Included in This Free Report
- Key Takeaways & Decision Summary
- Market Overview, Demographics, Regulatory & Licensing
- Incentives, Supply Chain, Consumer Demand
- Statewide Retail Footprint
- Financials, Neighbors, Workforce, Equity, Illicit Market
- Market Signals, Scenario Outlook, Outlook & Next Steps
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- Full Cost-to-Open Benchmarks
- Vendor Demand Signal with verified shortlists
- Downloadable data appendix (CSV)
- Priority alerts on legislative & future ballot developments
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Watch for any new ballot filing ahead of 2026 or 2028, and for the next official sales and patient report from ND HHS.
Sources & Methodology
This report compiles data from the North Dakota Department of Health and Human Services, the North Dakota Legislative Assembly, certified state election records, federal demographic sources, and reputable cannabis policy media.
Primary Sources
- North Dakota Legislative Assembly — Division of Medical Marijuana Program Annual Report — FY2021-FY2023 sales and patient figures
- Ballotpedia — North Dakota Initiated Measure 5 (2024) — 2024 adult-use ballot measure result
- North Dakota Monitor — North Dakota Medical Marijuana Program Adding Edibles — 2025 legislative session program changes
- North Dakota Department of Health and Human Services — Medical Marijuana Program — License counts and program structure
- U.S. Census Bureau — ACS 2024 — Population, income, and age demographics